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▲ Solana (SOL)/AI-generated image ©
Despite positive signals from the derivatives market and the explosive growth of the Real-World Asset (RWA) ecosystem, Solana (SOL) is stuck in a rut, failing to break the $85 barrier, trapped by extreme public indifference and stagnant institutional capital inflow.
According to investment media FXStreet on April 29 (local time), Solana has slipped over 3% in the past two days, hovering at $84.58 as of Wednesday. CoinGlass data showed Solana's long/short ratio hit a one-month high of 1.08 on Tuesday, and the weighted funding rate for open interest also turned positive at 0.0018%, indicating traders are strongly betting on a bullish market. Furthermore, news that Solana's Real-World Asset ecosystem's total value reached an all-time high of $2.5 billion supported the network's strong fundamentals and long-term growth potential.
However, these positive indicators are being overshadowed by a cooling market interest, rendering them ineffective. Santiment data revealed that Solana's social dominance (share of mentions) plummeted to 0.55% on Wednesday, clearly showing a rapid decline in investor interest.
The wait-and-see attitude of institutional investors is also concerning. According to SoSoValue data, the Solana spot ETF market has been stagnant this week with almost no capital inflows or outflows. If capital flows turn to outflows within a few days, it could act as strong selling pressure, dragging Solana's price into a deeper abyss.
Technical analysis also presents a gloomy outlook. Solana, trading at $84.58, faces heavy resistance overhead from the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $86.72, followed by the 100-day EMA at $95.36, and the 200-day EMA at $115.06, indicating a dominant short-term bearish trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) hovers around 48, and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) remains slightly in negative territory, suggesting weak momentum for a rebound.
If Solana attempts a rebound, it must first break through the tight resistance zone of the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement at $86.67 and the 50-day Exponential Moving Average at $86.72 to advance towards the top of the parallel channel at $92.11 and the 100-day Exponential Moving Average at $95.36. However, if it loses upward momentum and downward pressure intensifies, the primary support level will be the channel bottom at $77.12, and if selling pressure accelerates, a painful correction down to $67.50 appears inevitable.
*Disclaimer: This article is for investment reference only, and we are not responsible for any investment losses based on it. The content should be interpreted for informational purposes only.*
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