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Cryptocurrency Market Recovers $2.18 Trillion on Short Squeeze… Will the Uptrend Continue?
▲ Bitcoin, Cryptocurrency ©
The cryptocurrency market has rebounded, driven by large-scale liquidations of Bitcoin (BTC) short positions, BlackRock's expansion into Solana (SOL), and news of Ripple's institutional investments. However, analysis suggests it's too early to call it a full-fledged altcoin bull market.
According to CoinMarketCap, a cryptocurrency market data aggregator, on August 4 (local time), the global cryptocurrency market capitalization rose 0.53% in 24 hours to reach $2.18 trillion. This rebound was led by a short squeeze (buying pressure that occurs to liquidate or cover short-selling positions). Bitcoin liquidations increased by 126% in 24 hours, exceeding $76 million, with short positions accounting for most of this.
Institutional-related positive news acted as a catalyst for the short squeeze. News that BlackRock filed documents to issue tokenized fund shares on Solana and that Ripple is investing to increase the institutional utility of the XRP (Ripple) Ledger boosted investor sentiment. Forced buying of short positions during the price increase further expanded the initially limited rebound.
Funds also moved into some altcoins. SkyAI (SKYAI) surged 37.8%, and Cashcat (CASHCAT) rose 46%, but the altcoin season index remained at a neutral level of 51. This indicates that selective gains were seen primarily in meme and artificial intelligence (AI)-related tokens, but the entire market has not yet transitioned to an altcoin season. The correlation between the cryptocurrency market and the S&P 500 index reached 93%, suggesting that the macroeconomic environment, including the stock market, also supported the uptrend.
The short-term outlook depends on Bitcoin maintaining the $63,000 level. If this price is held on a monthly closing basis, the likelihood of an August bottom formation increases, and the cryptocurrency market capitalization could rise to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement zone of $2.22 trillion to $2.23 trillion. Conversely, if the market capitalization falls below the support level of $2.15 trillion, bearish pressure could re-emerge, potentially retesting the June lows.
The media assessed the market outlook as 'cautiously bullish'. While a continued rise in derivatives trading volume and funding rates could signal a renewed build-up of bullish leverage, the upward momentum could quickly slow down if the short squeeze effect weakens or if uncertainty surrounding the Clarity Act, a US cryptocurrency market structure bill, increases.
*Disclaimer: This article is for investment reference only, and we are not responsible for any investment losses based on it. The content should be interpreted for informational purposes only.*
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