Ripple is expanding its territory...XRP, $0.77 drop 'warning light'

▲ XRP/ChatGPT generated image

An analysis has emerged stating that while Ripple's presence in the U.S. market is strengthening, XRP is exposed to a risk of falling by up to 41% without being able to convert the company's growth into price gains.

According to U.Today on May 27 (local time), while fintech company Ripple is strengthening its presence in the U.S., XRP is facing technical downward pressure on larger timeframes. U.Today reported, citing TradingView's Bollinger Bands indicator, that if XRP falls to $0.77, the decline could reach 41%.

U.Today described the current trend as a paradox where institutional interest in the Ripple ecosystem is growing, but XRP itself is losing its core role in the company's commercial payments. On the daily chart, the Bollinger Bands are expanding and tilting downwards, confirming that XRP is under selling pressure below $1.32.

The pressure continues on the weekly chart as well. XRP has remained within a long-term downtrend since July 2025, with its weekly price trapped below the midline near $1.41 to $1.44. The lower Bollinger Band has fallen to $1.11, and on the monthly chart, a bearish order block has formed, aligning the target zone with the lower Bollinger Band at $0.77.

However, positive factors are partially mitigating the technical risks. U.Today reported that net inflows into U.S. XRP spot ETFs have exceeded $1.4 billion, and a U.S. crypto market structure bill to establish the legal status of digital assets is progressing in the U.S. Senate. These factors were presented as reasons preventing the market from entering an immediate fear-selling phase.

The problem is that changes in Ripple's business structure are diluting the direct utility value of XRP. U.Today explained that Ripple is gradually shifting commercial fund flows to RLUSD and fiat gateways by launching new institutional services, including Ripple Prime. In this process, XRP appears to be decoupling from Ripple's growth.

According to Santiment, the average return for XRP investors has fallen to its lowest level since 2020. U.Today reported that if the local support zone between $1.30 and $1.11 breaks, the technical gap could rapidly expand, pushing XRP towards the target zone of $0.77.

*Disclaimer: This article is for investment reference only, and we are not responsible for any investment losses based on it. The content should be interpreted for informational purposes only.*