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▲ Ripple (XRP) ©Go Da-sol
A warning has emerged that ultra-high price forecasts surrounding XRP (Ripple) could instead trap investors in dangerous expectations.
According to the cryptocurrency specialized media Bitcoinist on April 29 (local time), crypto analyst ChartNerd pointed out that extreme forecasts suggesting XRP could rise to $1,000, $18,000, or even $25,000 are more dangerous and unrealistic than predictions of a drop below $1.
XRP is currently trading at $1.39, more than 60% lower than its all-time high of $3.65 recorded in July 2025. ChartNerd explained that the issue isn't that XRP cannot rise, but that some forecasts deviate excessively from the reality shown by charts and circulating supply.
He expressed particular concern about the spread of claims such as XRP reaching $1,000 if it repeats the 2017 bull run, the argument that a price above $1,000 is necessary for increased institutional adoption, and even a $25,000 forecast based on prophetic claims. The gist is that bullish sentiment itself isn't the problem, but expectations detached from reality can cloud investment judgment.
Conversely, it was also explained that bearish forecasts are at least based on past price movements. ChartNerd analyzed that XRP returned to the lower regression band in every bear market, citing the Gaussian Channel. If this pattern repeats, the low point of the current cycle could be formed in the $0.70-$0.91 range.
However, the media also highlighted that XRP's fundamentals are stronger than ever. The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission's (SEC) enforcement action against Ripple has concluded, institutional investors are buying through XRP spot ETFs, and Ripple is expanding its presence in financial infrastructure. Nevertheless, former Ripple CTO David Schwartz also mentioned that there isn't enough logic to justify a $100 price yet.
*Disclaimer: This article is for investment reference only, and we are not responsible for investment losses based on it. The content should be interpreted for informational purposes only.*
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